on
September2024 - BTC | Deflation, Hyberbitcoinization & Wealth Banking
Think of Bitcoin more like a metric system - like kilometers, miles, kilograms, liters. We need a measuring system in a hyper deflationary world where everything falls down significantly in price. That’s where the finite supply of 21 million coins is beautiful. That’s how you will finally have a metric system that will measure the unit of GDP account across the world.
This talk highlights the Sagun’s vision of Bitcoin as a universal measuring tool for economic value in a world experiencing rapid technological deflation. It emphasizes Bitcoin’s potential role not just as a currency or store of value, but as a fundamental unit of account in a transformed global economy.
Bitcoin - Store of Value Vehicle (HODL):
The talk appears to be about hyperbitcoinization, deflation, and the future of wealth and banking in a Bitcoin-centric economy. Here’s a summary of the key points:
- Introduction to hyper deflation:
- Extreme decrease in prices of goods and services
- Increase in money’s purchasing power
- Contrasted with current inflationary trends
- Triggers for technological hyper deflation:
- AI and robotics
- Nuclear energy
- Quantum computing
- Human longevity
- Bitcoin’s role:
- Acts as a metric system in a deflationary world
- Finite supply of 21 million coins helps measure economic activity
- Stages of Bitcoin adoption:
- Collectible (first 5 years)
- Store of value (current stage, last 15 years)
- Medium of exchange (emerging, e.g., Lightning Network)
- Unit of account (future stage)
- Bitcoin adoption curve:
- Currently in early “innovators” stage (2.5% adoption)
- Prediction of significant growth in next 10 years by 2034.
- Bitcoin’s impact on traditional wealth:
- Currently a small fraction of global asset value ($ 1.4Tn / $ 900Tn)
- Predicted to capture significant portion of traditional assets in coming years
- Future of wealth banking:
- New types of wallet businesses expected
- Need for more user-friendly solutions for average users
- Bitcoin ownership trends:
- Prediction that institutions, governments, and central banks will become larger holders
- Importance of building services for these entities
- Bitcoin as a superior store of value:
- Other assets losing value when priced in Bitcoin
- Importance of denominating assets in Bitcoin to understand true value
- Bitcoin inheritance:
- Possibility of on-chain inheritance without traditional trusts
- Geopolitical risk mitigation
- Bitcoin investment options:
- Indirect investment through companies like MicroStrategy
- ETFs
- Custodial and collaborative custody solutions
- Derivatives and DeFi options
- Future outlook:
- Bitcoin as a tool in a hyper-deflationary world
- Integration with AI, quantum computing, and longevity advancements
- Potential for Bitcoin to become a global, borderless metric for economic output